Before the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, a new generation of nuclear power
plants seemed inevitable. China, had plans for 28 new reactors, and more than
60 were planned globally.
To many, the arguments were persuasive. Many sources are needed to meet the
future demand for electricity. To meet current economic growth by 2015, China
alone may need one and a half times the electrical capacity of 2010.
Nuclear power is also increasingly cost effective. Cost calculations are extremely
controversial varying dramatically depending on assumptions. Variables include
massive up-front capital, low operating expenses, large decommissioning charges,
and costs for spent-fuel storage. Nevertheless, as oil prices increase, nuclear
power is ever more attractive. [Oil is currently over $100 a barrel.]
Finally, climate change makes nuclear power compelling. There are serious environmental
issues with nuclear power. However, carbon dioxide is not emitted, and the impact
on global warming is minimized, compared to fossil fuels.
Given high demand, more competitive costs, and a more balanced environmental
argument, nuclear power was experiencing a resurgence.
The Achilles heel of nuclear power is water. Huge volumes are needed to cool
the fuel rods. This is the problem in Japan, where the pumps were disabled because
both the main and backup power supplies were destroyed.
The best sites for nuclear plants are on huge bodies of water; hence their
vulnerability to tsunamis. The subsequent overheating and meltdown of plants
dramatically multiplies the consequences of natural disasters.
What do you think? Would you embrace nuclear power? If so, where would you
build the plants?
By William
Vocke
For more information see:
James Pomfret & Benjamin Kang Lim, " China nuclear plants only delayed,
not stopped," The China Post, March 20, 2011, p. 4, Daya Bay, China, Reuters.
Editorial, "Questions After Japan," International Herald Tribune,
March 19-20, 2011, p. 6.
World Nuclear Association
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